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Betting guide

UFC betting: fight markets, method of victory and what a draw does to your bet

A UFC fight can end by knockout, submission, a judges' decision, a draw or a no contest, and each one settles a different set of bets. Here are the markets, the scoring rules and the maths behind the prices.

Empty eight sided fighting cage with MMA gloves and a bet slip, illustrating our UFC betting guide

Key facts

  • Under the Unified Rules of MMA, professional rounds are five minutes, a bout can be one to five rounds, and no bout can exceed 25 minutes.
  • Judges use the 10-point must system; a decision can be unanimous, split or majority, and a draw can be unanimous, majority or split.
  • A favourite at $1.40 (American -250) implies 71.43%; in our example the same fighter's three method of victory prices add up to 76.67%, a bigger margin than the head to head.
  • The TAB's Victorian sports rules have no MMA section, so a draw falls under the general tie rules; read your own bookmaker's MMA rules before you bet.
  • Perth's RAC Arena hosted a UFC Fight Night on Saturday 2 May 2026, which the WA Government said was the first Saturday evening Fight Night in Australia.

UFC betting, explained

UFC betting is fixed odds betting on a mixed martial arts bout, placed with a licensed Australian bookmaker before the fight starts. The basic bet is simple: pick the fighter who wins. The detail is in how fights end. Under the Unified Rules of MMA, published by athletic commissions such as California's, a bout can finish by knockout, technical knockout, submission, disqualification, a judges' decision, a draw or a no contest, and every market on your slip is settled by one of those outcomes.

How a fight is scored

The rules decide the markets, so start there. The Unified Rules say:

RuleWhat it says
Round lengthFive minutes for professionals, with a one-minute rest
Number of roundsOne to five; no bout can exceed five rounds or 25 minutes
Scoring10-point must: 10 to the round winner, nine or fewer to the loser
10-8 roundOffence that includes significant damage, or dominance with damage
DecisionsUnanimous (all three judges), split (two to one), majority (two judges, one draw)
DrawsUnanimous, majority, or split (all three differ and totals are level)
Technical decision or drawA fight stopped by an injury from a foul, decided on the cards
No contestStopped early by accidental injury before it can be decided on the cards

UFC betting markets

MarketWhat you pickWhat decides it
Head to headThe winning fighterThe official result
Method of victoryKO/TKO, submission or decision, for a fighterHow the fight ends
Round bettingA fighter to win in a specific roundThe round the fight ends
Total roundsOver or under, such as 2.5 roundsHow long the fight lasts
Goes the distanceYes or noWhether the judges decide it
DrawThe fight is scored a drawA drawn decision
Props and fight night specialsBonuses, combined outcomesMarket-specific rules

Method and round markets are prop bets: narrower outcomes, longer prices, and a margin on every option.

Reading UFC odds, including American prices

Australian bookmakers show decimal odds. US sources often quote American odds, so it helps to convert:

AmericanDecimalImplied chance
-250$1.4071.43%
-150$1.6760.00%
-110$1.9152.38%
+120$2.2045.45%
+200$3.0033.33%

A minus number is how much you stake to win $100; a plus number is what $100 wins. The odds converter does the conversion for any price.

The margin in a fight

A fight priced $1.40 and $3.10 adds up to 103.69%. In our calculation the fair prices are about $1.45 and $3.21. A head to head on a fight works like any head to head bet, except that a third outcome, the draw, sits outside the two prices.

Method of victory: more ways to be right, and wrong

Method markets split one fighter's win into three bets. Here is an example for the $1.40 favourite above:

Fighter A wins byPriceImplied chance
KO or TKO$3.0033.33%
Submission$6.0016.67%
Decision$3.7526.67%
Total76.67%

Those three outcomes together are the same thing as Fighter A winning, which the head to head prices at 71.43%. The method prices add up to 5.24 percentage points more in this example, so you pay a bigger margin for the extra detail. Add them up before you bet. The implied probability calculator makes the sum quick.

Draws, no contests and changed fights

This is where UFC betting rules differ most between bookmakers. The TAB's published Victorian sports rules have sections for boxing, cricket, tennis and more, but none for MMA, so a UFC bet there falls under the general rules:

SituationGeneral rule in the TAB's Victorian rulesExample: $20 on the favourite at $1.40
Draw, and a draw price was offeredBets on either fighter lose (rule 10.9)Returns $0
Draw, no draw price offeredPayout divided by the number tied (rule 12.5)Returns $14.00
Bout cancelled before it startsRefund (rule 10.5)Returns $20.00
Venue changed for named competitorsBets void unless you were told otherwise (rule 6.15)Returns $20.00

A no contest has no winner, so check how your bookmaker settles it. Bookmakers that write their own MMA rules can treat draws, no contests and short-notice opponent changes differently, which is the reason to read them before a big card, not after.

UFC in Australia

The UFC has come to Perth repeatedly. The WA Government said UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs Prates at RAC Arena on Saturday 2 May 2026 was the first time a Fight Night had been staged on a Saturday evening in Australia, following UFC 284 in February 2023, UFC 305 in August 2024 and a Fight Night in September 2025.

MMA betting and Australian law

MMA betting is legal with a bookmaker licensed in an Australian state or territory, and only before the bout if you bet online. ACMA lists in-play betting on sporting events, and betting services not licensed in Australia, among the services that are illegal to offer online. A five-round fight does not change that, and a bet placed wholly by phone is the only in-play exception. Licensed providers cannot take deposits by credit card or crypto.

Pundit tip: a fighter who usually finishes fights can still be a poor method bet if the price already assumes a finish. Convert every method price to a chance and ask whether the three add up to more than the fighter's head to head.

Boxing has its own published settlement rules for substitutes and rounds; see our boxing betting guide. For prices from scratch, read how to read odds, and every bet type is in our bet types guide.

Frequently asked questions

How do UFC odds work?

Australian bookmakers show decimal odds that include your stake: $1.40 returns $14 for a $10 bet. US sources often show American odds, where -250 means you stake $250 to win $100 (decimal $1.40) and +200 means a $100 stake wins $200 (decimal $3.00).

What happens to a UFC bet if the fight is a draw?

It depends on the market and the bookmaker. If a draw price was offered, bets on either fighter lose. If not, a bookmaker's general tie rule applies; under the TAB's Victorian rules, that divides the payout by the number of competitors tied. Check your bookmaker's own MMA rules.

What is a method of victory bet?

A bet on how a fighter wins: by KO or TKO, by submission, or by decision. It pays more than the head to head because you need the right fighter and the right finish.

How are UFC fights scored?

Three judges score each round on the 10-point must system: 10 points to the winner of the round and nine or fewer to the loser. The fighter with more judges' scorecards in their favour wins the decision.

Can I bet on a UFC fight once it has started?

Not online. Online in-play sports betting is prohibited in Australia, so bets through an app or website must be in before the fight begins. Only a bet placed wholly by phone is exempt.

Related reading

Sources

Official pages we relied on. If anything here has changed, tell us via the contact page and we fix it.

  1. California State Athletic Commission: Unified Rules of MMA and judging criteria
  2. WA Government: Perth set for historic UFC Fight Night (29 April 2026)
  3. ACMA: Wagering companies breach in-play betting rules
  4. ACMA: Protect yourself from illegal gambling operators